Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 68.494931 77.335485 86.401681 96.362054 106.965884 117.887779 129.957953
2025-06-01 55.034747 67.702040 81.305727 96.868542 114.053559 132.334517 153.138154
2025-06-08 45.911988 60.475095 76.682263 95.781800 117.418391 140.938951 168.218125
2025-06-15 40.392377 56.477085 74.929185 97.207356 122.958589 151.420096 184.900728
2025-06-22 36.081431 53.330387 73.671859 98.758483 128.258195 161.315583 200.654538
2025-06-29 31.297142 49.096741 70.703723 97.930384 130.492920 167.471207 211.960727
2025-07-06 26.563928 44.456388 66.852755 95.701866 130.790921 171.158449 220.238241
2025-07-13 25.012961 43.800118 67.815991 99.206738 137.807228 182.583634 237.385103
2025-07-20 23.060871 42.408130 67.698062 101.257920 142.987104 191.796232 251.926564
2025-07-27 20.369720 39.741720 65.741359 100.848440 145.052221 197.234985 261.986854
2025-08-03 17.837578 37.064045 63.586625 100.033624 146.496202 201.839877 270.992077
2025-08-10 16.077562 35.366105 62.628018 100.659498 149.650045 208.441426 282.321719
2025-08-17 14.053431 33.095623 60.783397 100.074611 151.278682 213.231584 291.569431
2025-08-24 12.514342 31.445705 59.705277 100.428893 154.045916 219.382578 302.442655
2025-08-31 10.743108 29.208559 57.642342 99.344862 154.886454 223.106145 310.343462
2025-09-07 9.808839 28.316817 57.479671 100.796997 158.960974 230.798073 323.037099
2025-09-14 8.992163 27.547058 57.442223 102.382051 163.184008 238.663679 335.943306
2025-09-21 7.704873 25.735609 55.717210 101.536118 164.167810 242.453198 343.853071
2025-09-28 6.273496 23.417704 53.059780 99.259606 163.175316 243.699524 348.595627
2025-10-05 6.102902 23.688192 54.500716 102.839781 169.978748 254.781008 365.453306
2025-10-12 5.672259 23.344628 54.922969 104.934523 174.789771 263.346445 379.221005
2025-10-19 4.852170 22.009527 53.652193 104.516376 176.187213 267.558260 387.594200
2025-10-26 4.059022 20.585128 52.143954 103.684271 176.977537 270.964323 394.946419